Pre-tourney Rankings
Notre Dame
Big East
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.9#40
Expected Predictive Rating+11.1#34
Pace59.6#320
Improvement+5.1#26

Offense
Total Offense+5.3#52
Improvement+2.0#70

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#51
Improvement+3.1#46
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 17.9% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.6% n/a n/a
Second Round49.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen13.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight5.1% n/a n/a
Final Four1.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2011 243   Mississippi Valley W 80-67 94%     1 - 0 +4.8 +3.1 +1.6
  Nov 14, 2011 119   Detroit Mercy W 59-53 83%     2 - 0 +6.0 -14.1 +20.3
  Nov 16, 2011 270   Sam Houston St. W 74-41 96%     3 - 0 +23.4 +4.0 +20.6
  Nov 18, 2011 242   Delaware St. W 93-69 94%     4 - 0 +16.0 +19.2 -2.0
  Nov 21, 2011 6   Missouri L 58-87 21%     4 - 1 -10.7 -12.8 +2.5
  Nov 22, 2011 105   Georgia L 57-61 70%     4 - 2 +0.5 -7.1 +7.2
  Nov 27, 2011 339   Bryant W 84-59 99%     5 - 2 +5.8 -0.4 +5.9
  Nov 30, 2011 29   @ Gonzaga L 53-73 33%     5 - 3 -5.5 -12.7 +7.2
  Dec 04, 2011 125   Maryland L 71-78 75%     5 - 4 -4.1 +6.8 -11.7
  Dec 08, 2011 282   Maine W 87-78 96%     6 - 4 -1.4 +11.0 -12.3
  Dec 10, 2011 294   Dartmouth W 65-47 97%     7 - 4 +6.3 -4.6 +12.6
  Dec 17, 2011 8   Indiana L 58-69 30%     7 - 5 +4.3 -6.6 +10.0
  Dec 19, 2011 246   Sacred Heart W 106-65 94%     8 - 5 +32.7 +29.9 +3.9
  Dec 27, 2011 68   Pittsburgh W 72-59 73%     9 - 5 1 - 0 +16.7 +12.1 +7.2
  Jan 04, 2012 33   @ Cincinnati L 55-71 34%     9 - 6 1 - 1 -1.9 -6.8 +4.1
  Jan 07, 2012 19   @ Louisville W 67-65 2OT 26%     10 - 6 2 - 1 +18.5 +4.6 +13.8
  Jan 10, 2012 55   South Florida W 60-49 69%     11 - 6 3 - 1 +15.7 +5.8 +12.1
  Jan 14, 2012 36   Connecticut L 53-67 61%     11 - 7 3 - 2 -7.0 -8.2 -1.0
  Jan 16, 2012 117   @ Rutgers L 58-65 61%     11 - 8 3 - 3 -0.1 -0.7 -0.4
  Jan 21, 2012 7   Syracuse W 67-58 36%     12 - 8 4 - 3 +22.8 +9.3 +14.5
  Jan 25, 2012 44   @ Seton Hall W 55-42 41%     13 - 8 5 - 3 +25.2 -2.2 +29.4
  Jan 29, 2012 36   @ Connecticut W 50-48 35%     14 - 8 6 - 3 +15.8 +1.2 +15.3
  Feb 04, 2012 18   Marquette W 76-59 49%     15 - 8 7 - 3 +27.2 +11.3 +16.5
  Feb 08, 2012 37   @ West Virginia W 55-51 35%     16 - 8 8 - 3 +17.8 +7.0 +12.2
  Feb 11, 2012 156   DePaul W 84-76 87%     17 - 8 9 - 3 +5.6 +9.9 -4.0
  Feb 15, 2012 117   Rutgers W 71-53 82%     18 - 8 10 - 3 +18.1 +8.8 +11.4
  Feb 18, 2012 83   @ Villanova W 74-70 OT 52%     19 - 8 11 - 3 +13.3 +4.6 +8.8
  Feb 22, 2012 37   West Virginia W 71-44 61%     20 - 8 12 - 3 +34.0 +20.5 +21.1
  Feb 25, 2012 146   @ St. John's L 58-61 69%     20 - 9 12 - 4 +1.9 -6.8 +8.4
  Feb 27, 2012 17   @ Georgetown L 41-59 25%     20 - 10 12 - 5 -1.0 -10.7 +4.7
  Mar 02, 2012 121   Providence W 75-69 83%     21 - 10 13 - 5 +5.8 +2.5 +3.5
  Mar 08, 2012 55   South Florida W 57-53 OT 57%     22 - 10 +12.1 +0.7 +12.0
  Mar 09, 2012 19   Louisville L 50-64 38%     22 - 11 -0.9 -1.7 -2.0
Projected Record 22.0 - 11.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 99.6% 99.6% 7.3 0.0 0.0 2.3 15.6 39.0 35.2 7.3 0.3 0.4 99.6%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.6% 0.0% 99.6% 7.3 0.0 0.0 2.3 15.6 39.0 35.2 7.3 0.3 0.4 99.6%